Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if a person know the techniques often the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the video game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also realized that there initially were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This video game features all the indications of being one associated with the ideal games of the year, along with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming backside from staying down large in the independence day quarter to winning around overtime.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In the event this game were turning into played at the neutral field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, typically the extra reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that spare point will certainly make the difference between a push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… www.ufabet168.info/%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%84%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%a3%e0%b9%88%e0%b8%b2%e0%b9%80%e0%b8%a7%e0%b9%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b9%84%e0%b8%ab%e0%b8%99%e0%b8%94%e0%b8%b5 hasn’t misplaced at your home since Dec 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points every game with home. In case you did not do the mathmatical, that means considering their own last home loss they already have averaged beating their oppositions by simply about 34 points per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by 13 details per sport at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats ended up established during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They’ve experienced recent games in which they’ve only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a close video game to get in touch with. Nevertheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any cause to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this game and not guess at all. There happen to be better video games this quick with more simple benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s border had not been so big they will may possibly still win soon after producing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this specific match, people significant with regards to sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on coming games.