Sports playing is often very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. We analyzed the particular West California vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Va had the particular edge in the video game. Nevertheless , We also noticed that there initially were a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guarantee on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport offers all the indicators of being one associated with the ideal games regarding the year, with each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back from becoming down massive in the fourth 1 fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the adventure appear like this year?

In case this video game were getting played from a good fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Florida Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 STREET games.

These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, UFABETเว็บไหนดี included added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like much, but in a close match-up such as this, that extra point will make the variation between a push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since December 17, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 6 points every game from home. In case you failed to do the math, that means considering that their last home damage they have already averaged beating his or her oppositions by means of about 34 factors per game.

What’s more impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by way of 13 factors per sport at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats were being established during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They’ve possessed recent games in which they already have only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still a close game to contact. Nonetheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off that game and not necessarily wager at all. There happen to be better game titles this saturday and sunday with more simple rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big they will could very well still win after generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular sport, people critical regarding wagering saved money that they can put to better employ on coming games.